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Rain pours on pedestrians in Quezon City on October 11, 2020 amid the general community quaraintine. Mark Demayo, ABS-CBN News/File

Rain pours on pedestrians in Quezon City on October 11, 2020 amid the general community quaraintine. Monsoon rains enhanced by a low pressure area persists over parts of Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao according to PAGASA. Mark Demayo, ABS-CBN News

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Weather-La Nina

Ariel Rojas

ABS-CBN News

<div><br/></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span class="fr-img-caption fr-fic fr-dib" style="width:950px"><span class="fr-img-wrap"><img src="https://od2-image-api.abs-cbn.com/prod/editorImage/172051470938020201011-covid19-rain-lanina-9405-MD.jpg" style="width:950px" class="fr-fic fr-dib" alt="Rain pours on pedestrians in Quezon City on October 11, 2020 amid the general community quarantine. Mark Demayo, ABS-CBN News/File"/><span class="fr-inner" style="text-align:left">Rain pours on pedestrians in Quezon City on October 11, 2020 amid the general community quarantine. <em>Mark Demayo, ABS-CBN News/File</em></span></span></span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">MANILA -- The start of La Niña may be further delayed to the last quarter of 2024, state weather bureau PAGASA said Tuesday on its La Niña Watch.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">This, as climate models project 55 percent probability of the climate phenomenon emerging during the October-November-December 2024 quarter and persisting through the first quarter of 2025.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">PAGASA initially said that La Niña may start during the June-July-August season in March. In its climate forum on June 26, the high uncertainty of climate forecasts led state climatologists to adjust their projection between September and November.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><a href="https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/2024/6/26/la-nina-onset-may-be-delayed-pagasa-1555"></a><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"><a class="fr-green fr-strong" href="https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/2024/6/26/la-nina-onset-may-be-delayed-pagasa-1555">READ: La Niña onset may be delayed -- PAGASA</a></span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Currently, ENSO-neutral conditions—or the absence of El Niño and La Niña—prevail over the tropical region of the Pacific Ocean and may last until the August-September-October season.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">ENSO or El Niño-Southern Oscillation is a naturally occurring climate pattern observed through changes in wind intensity and direction and sea surface temperatures over the equatorial Pacific, with global climatic impacts.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">El Niño is the warm phase of the ENSO and results in less rainfall and drier conditions in the Philippines, with tropical cyclones forming farther away.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">La Niña, on the other hand, is the ENSO cold phase that leads to above normal rains and tropical cyclones forming closer to the country.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">The Department of Agriculture previously said that La Niña poses a more severe impact to agriculture, to which PAGASA climatologists agreed.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><a href="https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/2024/6/19/pagasa-explains-why-la-ni-a-affects-agri-more-severely-than-el-ni-o-1757"></a><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"><a class="fr-green fr-strong" href="https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/2024/6/19/pagasa-explains-why-la-ni-a-affects-agri-more-severely-than-el-ni-o-1757">READ: Why La Niña affects agriculture more severely than El Niño</a></span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">The country is still reeling from the impacts of a strong El Niño episode that lasted for almost a year. Nine provinces still experienced drought in June, when the El Niño ended.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">During its peak, 46 provinces experienced drought, with scores of local government units declaring a state of calamity, while agricultural damage reached P10 billion.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">This July, the weather bureau forecast two to three tropical cyclones to form or enter the Philippine area of responsibility.</span></div><div dir="ltr" style="line-height:1.38;text-align:justify;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:10pt"><span style="color:#000000;background-color:transparent;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Most of Luzon and Eastern Visayas are projected to receive below-normal rains. The rest of the country may get near-normal precipitation, except in Davao del Sur and Davao Occidental where above-normal rains are possible.</span></div><div><strong>RELATED VIDEO:</strong></div><div><ivs-player data-ivs-key="e8c22c015ca9eafa76f1e3edfa03c603" data-ivs-spid="3001339" data-ivs-vid="2981196"></ivs-player></div><script src="https://player.ivideosmart.com/ivsplayer/v4/dist/js/loader.js"></script>

<p>The start of La Niña may be further delayed to the last quarter of 2024, state weather bureau PAGASA said Tuesday on its La Niña Watch.</p>

The start of La Niña may be further delayed to the last quarter of 2024, state weather bureau PAGASA said Tuesday on its La Niña Watch.

La Niña onset may be delayed further to last quarter of 2024: PAGASA

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La Niña onset may be delayed further to last quarter of 2024: PAGASA

Ariel Rojas,

ABS-CBN News

Published Jul 09, 2024 04:52 PM PHT

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La Nina

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